The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused large-scale displacement to the EU+, the most asylum applications in years, and far more registrations for temporary protection. In total, nearly 3 million persons fleeing Ukraine have registered for the EU’s temporary protection status since the start of the war. 

Analysis released by the European Union Agency for Asylum (EUAA) shows that about 82 900 asylum applications were lodged in the EU+ in March 2022.^[1] This was the most since the so-called “refugee crisis” of 2015 – 2016. The increase by a third from February (+ 21 800) was also the largest since 2015. It mainly resulted from a peak of asylum applications by Ukrainians (14 000), around 30 times as many as before the start of the war. This made Ukrainians by far the largest group of applicants in March, ahead of Afghans (9 000) and Syrians (7 700).
 

Peaks of both asylum applications and registrations for temporary protection

However, asylum applications alone do not nearly capture the historical dimension of refugee migration from Ukraine, with magnitudes not seen since the end of the second World War. Under the Temporary Protection Directive,^[2] those fleeing Ukraine can register for temporary protection in the EU, without having to undergo an asylum procedure. Registrations also peaked in March at 1.6 million. While the pace of registrations has slowed steadily thereafter, at least 50 000 Ukrainians were still registered during the fourth week of May. By 29 May, altogether nearly 3 million persons fleeing Ukraine have registered for temporary protection since the beginning of the war, according to provisional estimates.^[3] This number is 140 times as high as total Ukrainian asylum applications over the same period (21 400).
 

More applicants also from Russia and other former Soviet countries

Sudden increases in asylum applications also occurred for citizens of various former Soviet countries. Asylum applications by Russians (1 400) doubled from February to the highest level since 2018. Even stronger rises, between two-fold and ten-fold, occurred for citizens of Belarus, Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan. It is not clear to what extent these applicants came from their home countries or were residing in Ukraine when the war began. Applications also increased significantly for several African countries of origin, notably Nigeria, Somalia, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Mali.
 

The most first instance decisions in a year

Asylum authorities in EU+ countries issued about 53 300 first instance decisions in March 2022, up by a quarter from February and the most since March 2021. Decisions issued to Venezuelans were five times as high as in February, and they also increased substantially for Syrians, Afghans and Colombians. However, the overall rise in decisions did not keep up with applications lodged, which exceeded decisions by almost 30 000 in March, the largest gap in half a year. After steadily increasing in recent months, over half a million cases were pending at first instance at the end of March. About half of them were pending for more than six months.
 

The EU+ recognition rate⁴ was 40 % in March, remaining significantly higher than the overall recognition rate for 2021 (35 %). While the recognition rate for Ukrainians jumped to 47 % in March, this was driven by decisions on repeated applications and did not yet reflect decisions on first-time applications lodged after the beginning of the war. Some of the highest recognition rates overall arose for Syrians (93 %), Yemenis (89 %), Belarusians (87 %) and Eritreans (85 %). Two thirds of all positive decisions in March granted refugee status, while the remainder granted subsidiary protection.

The EU+ recognition rate^[4] was 40% in March, remaining significantly higher than the overall recognition rate for 2021 (35 %). The recognition rate for Ukrainians jumped to 47 % in March but this does not yet reflect the surge of applications lodged since the beginning of the war. Some of the highest recognition rates overall arose for Syrians (93 %), Yemenis (89 %), Belarusians (87 %) and Eritreans (85 %). Two thirds of all positive decisions in March granted refugee status, while the remainder granted subsidiary protection.

For more information and an interactive data visualisation, please visit the Latest Asylum Trends page.