Strategic analysis
This report provides an analysis of the situation in Ukraine and displacement to the EU+. It elaborates on trends as well as drivers of migration and provides an outlook. The report draws on EUAA’s EPS data on the asylum situation, Eurostat data on temporary protection, EUAA surveys of persons displaced from Ukraine, a Gradus Research Company survey with Ukrainians in Ukraine, interview with an expert, and open-source information. It tries to assess what EU institutions and Member States should prepare for during the winter of 2025-2026. The report does not aim to be comprehensive or in-depth but provides a situational awareness picture.