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COMMON ANALYSIS
Last update: January 2023

2023_CG_AFG_Map

[Main COI reference: Security 2022, 4.29, pp. 177-180]

As of May 2022, Parwan was reported as one of the provinces where resistance to the Taliban was growing. Some activity of ISKP was also recorded in the province.

During the reference period, ACLED recorded 111 security incidents in Parwan (average of 1.8 incidents per week), of which 74 were battles, 20 violence against civilians, and 17 explosions/remote violence. Most incidents were attributed to NRF and Taliban forces, with some incidents also attributed to AFF.  According to ACLED, the security incidents in the province resulted in 195 fatalities, which included combatants and non-combatants.

UCDP recorded 26 security incidents in the period between 16 August 2021 and 22 October, resulting in 25 civilian deaths. Compared to population data from UNOCHA, this represented 3 civilian deaths per 100 000 inhabitants.

Examples of incidents included clashes between the Taliban and the NRF, several attacks of AFF against the Taliban and its bases, the detention and killing by the Taliban of a civilian accused of association with NRF, as well as the forced disappearance of his brother-in-law, the killing of a former army soldier by unidentified gunmen, killings by armed robbers.

In April 2022, power pylons in Salang District were destroyed by ISKP explosives, resulting in 11 provinces temporarily facing blackouts.

From mid-August to November 2021, 2 907 persons were displaced due to conflict. No displacement has been registered in 2022. IOM identified 25 095 IDP arrivals in Parwan in the period between August and December 2021. In the same period, 97 057 IDPs returned to Parwan.

Looking at the indicators, it can be concluded that indiscriminate violence is taking place in the province of Parwan, however not at a high level. Moreover, a significant proportion of the civilian fatalities in the province is considered to be the result of security incidents of a targeted nature. Therefore, a high level of individual elements is required in order to substantiate subsidiary protection needs under Article 15(c) QD.